Mridul K. Thomas
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  • Covid [archived]

26/11/2021

26/4/2022

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It's early days and there's lots of checking to be done. But the new variant detected in South Africa really could be the next Delta. Unless there's been some weird mistake or large bias in the data (not impossible), I expect some border closures & associated chaos in the coming weeks.

Also: just 10% of Africa has had at least one dose. We are continuing to fail them.

A helpful set of threads about the variant from scientists working on it already: https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1464012926633840640?fbclid=IwAR1N6VBixJRHh7czxQg-ETrDCGqGZh15HyWRqycfg8H1_GNOcrevMUPbSiQ

EDIT: Just *hours* after I posted this, travel restrictions were being put in place. Wild.
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    Why I did this

    I am not an expert on Covid, viruses, or vaccines, but I am a scientist with relevant training. I believe we have a responsibility to clearly communicate science to the public, especially in emergencies. So in March 2020, I started to write summaries of Covid developments on facebook and email them to friends and family, to help them understand the situation as it unfolded. This is an archive of those posts (created much later).

    I also tracked the spread of alarming Covid variants for a few months at http://covidvarianttracking.com/ and mapped the consequences of faster variant spreading at https://tabsoft.co/2YwHCmZ.
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