4 days later, we are now at ~100 deaths per hour. The shutdowns take 1-2 weeks to show up in infection rates and probably longer in death rates, so this does not mean that what we're doing is not working.
A very tentative possibility is that the infected population may be higher than we thought - which if true implies that the mortality rate is lower. Far too early to have much confidence, but let's hope this is right.
A very tentative possibility is that the infected population may be higher than we thought - which if true implies that the mortality rate is lower. Far too early to have much confidence, but let's hope this is right.
