Mridul K. Thomas
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ecology - phytoplankton - functional traits

25.03.2020

2/1/2021

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4 days later, we are now at ~100 deaths per hour. The shutdowns take 1-2 weeks to show up in infection rates and probably longer in death rates, so this does not mean that what we're doing is not working.

A very tentative possibility is that the infected population may be higher than we thought - which if true implies that the mortality rate is lower. Far too early to have much confidence, but let's hope this is right.
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    Why I did this

    I am not an expert on Covid, viruses, or vaccines, but I am a scientist with relevant training. I believe we have a responsibility to clearly communicate science to the public, especially in emergencies. So I started to write summaries of Covid developments on facebook in March 2020 to help friends and family understand the situation as it unfolded. This is an archive of those posts (created much later).

    I also tracked the spread of alarming Covid variants for a few months at http://covidvarianttracking.com/ and mapped the consequences of faster variant spreading at https://tabsoft.co/2YwHCmZ.
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